Agoura, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

059
FXUS66 KLOX 022232
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
232 PM PST Mon Feb 2 2026

.SYNOPSIS...02/152 PM.

Warmer temperatures with locally gusty Santa Ana winds will
return Tuesday through Thursday, strongest and warmest on
Wednesday. Slightly cooler temperatures are expected Friday and
over the weekend but temperatures will still be at least 4-8
degrees above normal. There is a chance of rain by around next
Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-THU)...02/218 PM.

Strong onshore trends today have resulted in a much earlier sea
breeze and cooler temperatures, especially across coast and valley
areas. Overall, temperatures are down 5-10 degrees from the last
few days. This will be a fairly short respite in the hot
temperatures as high pressure and moderate to strong offshore
flow will return starting Tuesday but really kicking into gear
Wednesday and Thursday. There may still some morning low clouds
and fog along coastal areas south of Pt Conception, but those
should be short-lived as offshore flow takes over by mid to late
morning and locally gusty northeast winds develop, especially in
the LA Mountains and in and around the Hwy 14/126 corridors.
Temperatures will warm up several degrees from today.

The peak of this next Santa Ana will be on Wednesday with low end
advisory northeast winds in the usual areas and high temperatures
well into the 80s across most coast and valley areas. Models have
backed off temps slightly and 90s appear to be off the table, but
mid to high 80s are a strong bet. Based on the daily temperature
records for Wednesday, a few records are possible, particularly
Burbank (record 86), LAX (record 84), and Long Beach (record 87)
are the most susceptible to being broken.

Offshore flow will begin to weaken Thursday and high pressure
aloft will be weakening as well but highs will still mostly be in
the low to mid 80s across coast and valleys and can`t rule out one
or two record highs.

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...02/232 PM.

High pressure aloft will give way to a weak upper low Friday and
Saturday. Over the last several days there have been a smattering
of ensemble solutions that have indicated perhaps a sprinkle or
two falling but even that seems very unlikely (less than a 10%
chance) and probably wouldn`t even amount to more than a trace.
The most likely outcome is continued dry weather, some increasing
clouds and cooler temperatures, but even there highs are expected
to remain at least 5-10 degrees above normal.

A strongly tilted ridge will bring 2-5 degrees of warming to the
area Sunday, but otherwise clear skies and light winds.

Chances for the first rain in a month increase rapidly early to
mid next week with quarter to half inch of rain on average either
Tuesday or Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...02/1930Z.

At 19Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer or inversion.

Low confidence in KSBA and south including KLAX 06-17Z with with
a 20-50 percent chance of LIFR/VLIFR cigs vsbys, with the highest
probably focused across the LA basin. High confidence in VFR conds
elsewhere except KPRB where MVFR vis is likely and there is a 10
percent chance of IFR conds or lower between 10-17Z.

Moderate confidence in wind, especially for KVNY after 12Z. There
is a 30 percent chance of 36012kt as early as 16Z.

KLAX...Low confidence in TAF. There is a 50 percent chance that
VFR conds prevail. Any east wind component will likely remain
below 6 kts.

KBUR...High confidence in TAF.

&&

.MARINE...02/159 PM.

For all the Outer Waters and the Inner Waters north of Point
Conception, high confidence in current forecast. Expecting Small
Craft Advisory (SCA) level winds and seas to gradually diminish
through night. Tuesday through Thursday, offshore northeast winds
will develop each morning, and there is a 30-40% chance for
localized gusts near SCA levels for the near shore waters around
Morro Bay and near the Channel Islands. Another round of SCA level
winds and seas across the outer waters will be possible Friday
into Saturday, and SCA winds may linger into the following week.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Tonight through Monday a
moderately long-period W swell will bring seas of 4-8 feet to the
southern inner waters. Then Tuesday night through Wednesday and
potentially into Thursday morning, there is a 50 percent chance of
SCA northeast winds Ventura south to Orange County. Northwest
winds should increase to SCA levels over the waters early next
week, especially Tuesday.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...High Surf Advisory in effect until 9 AM PST Tuesday for zones
      340-346-354. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     Beach Hazards Statement in effect until 9 PM PST this evening
      for zones 362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PST this evening
      for zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 2 AM PST Tuesday for
      zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION...Munroe
MARINE...RM/Phillips/Schoenfeld
SYNOPSIS...MW

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox